United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia, Syria at War: Eight Years On, 2020
Source ID
SRC-018
Citation
United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia, Syria at War: Eight Years On, 2020
URL or path
research/ESCWA Syria at War Eight Years On 2020.pdf
Type
Official assessment
Hierarchy tier
3
Published
2020
Accessed
2026-08-27
Snapshot
Local archive, not committed. 88 pages, downloaded from syria.un.org
Claims
CH1-001
Status
READ
Version history
The register keeps changing after the book is fixed in print. Each entry below was added to this row in the order shown.
RETIERED 11 August 2026 under D-028 against EVIDENCE_PROTOCOL's six-level source hierarchy. The previous value was an ad hoc quality score on an undocumented scale. Tier now records SOURCE TYPE only; how far this project has checked the document is the Status column. Previous value: tier 2. Opened 10 August 2026. The report states that by the end of the eighth year of conflict, damage to physical capital was estimated at US$117.7 billion, and that added to estimated GDP losses of US$324.5 billion this gives total economic losses of US$442.2 billion. The period is 2011 to 2018 and the price basis is constant 2010 prices, stated in the titles of figures 23, 24 and 25. This is the origin of the largest component of the Development Programme's US$123.3 billion and therefore of the figure the ILO factsheet ultimately carries. Note also that ESCWA's own GDP loss of US$324.5 billion for 2011 to 2018 is not the Development Programme's US$799.4 billion for 2011 to 2024, and the two must never be presented as versions of one another
RE-OPENED 27 AUGUST 2026 FOR CHAPTER 11, AND THE SECTORAL SHARES ARE NOW RECORDED, because this row carried the US$117.7 billion total and not its distribution, and Chapter 11 needs the distribution rather than the total. READ AT THE DOCUMENT, figure 24 and the paragraph above it, 'Sectoral distribution of physical capital loss, 2011-2018 (billion dollars, 2010 prices)'. VERBATIM: 'The hardest hit was housing, at 17.5 per cent of the total, followed by the mining sector, at 16 per cent. The security sector (military and police) was estimated to account for 15.3 per cent of total physical damage... The transport sector reached 12.6 per cent of the total, while the manufacturing, electricity and health sectors accounted for 9.9 per cent, 6.2 per cent and 4.5 per cent respectively. The education and tourism sectors accounted for 3.7 per cent and 3 per cent respectively.' THE DOCUMENT DESCRIBES THESE AS 'seven of the most capital-intensive sectors' AND THEN NAMES NINE WITH PERCENTAGES, so no count of sectors may be printed from it; name the sectors instead. THREE BARS. The price base is constant 2010 prices and the period ends in 2018, so these shares predate the drought years and the February 2023 earthquakes and may not be applied to any post-transition total. They are shares of physical capital loss, not of reconstruction cost, which is a different quantity. And ESCWA's own total adds a stock to a flow elsewhere in the report, so the US$117.7 billion may never be combined with its GDP-loss figure.