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Friday, 6 November 2026 · LondonENع
Rayan Azhari.Sustainability · Energy · Carbon · Built Environment · Data Science
Category

Rebuilding Syria: Systems & Statecraft

Seven Hundred and Fifty Times

In March 2025 the International Renewable Energy Agency put Syria's off-grid solar at 2 megawatts for 2024. A year later it put the same year at 1,500. Neither edition says why. Around that revision sit a rooftop build-out that, as far as I can find, Syrians mostly paid for themselves, and a state credit scheme that on my arithmetic reached at most one or two per cent of it.

· 9 min

Twenty-Three Point Six Billion Dollars, Before the Report

Global Financial Integrity's estimate of Syria's illicit financial outflows over 2000 to 2009 circulates as US$23.6 billion, often with a loss per Syrian attached. The report it is credited to gives two figures rather than one, divides by nobody, and was not yet published on the day the number first appeared.

· 9 min

How a Cost of War Became a US$923 Billion Rebuild

An International Labour Organization factsheet says rebuilding Syria could cost "USD250 to USD 900+ billion". Follow its footnote and the upper figure turns out to be something else: the UN Development Programme's estimate of what the war cost, most of it output that was never produced. Here is the chain, link by link, and what the one number from a full assessment actually measures.

· 10 min

If Twenty-Five Billion Dollars Arrived Next Month

A hypothetical: the Syrian government receives US$25 billion next month. Could its banks hold the money, its offices turn it into projects, its laws carry the contracts and its people build them, and how long would it take? On the record I keep, the answer is not yet, not at that scale and not quickly, with exceptions the record names: multilateral grants, budget support and operators' own capital.

· 31 min

I Corrected My Own Book

My earlier book on Syria went on sale the week the World Bank published its estimate of what rebuilding the country would cost. My book said US$250 billion to US$400 billion. The Bank said US$216 billion. Here is what my range was missing, what else did not survive being checked, and why the corrections became a second book.

· 10 min

Utility-Led Distributed Energy Storage

An Energy-as-a-Service Framework for Post-Conflict Syria Executive Summary This document presents a strategic proposal for utility-led distributed energy storage (DES) in post-conflict Syria, structured as an Energy-as-a-Service (EaaS) framework. It draws on international evidence from pioneering programmes in the United States, Australia, Lebanon, and other markets, extracting both positive models and cautionary lessons to inform

· 27 min

Visualizing Syria's Electricity Network

Syria’s high-voltage grid hangs on a single 400 kV north-south spine, and one break in the middle splits the country in two. An interactive map built from World Bank geospatial data shows where the network is strong, where it is radial and fragile, and why reconstruction must not rebuild the vulnerability pylon for pylon.

· 8 min

The Fiscal Calculus of Syria’s Post-Assad Reconstruction

Syria’s Fiscal Dilemma Between Monetary Reform and Humanitarian Reconstruction (2025-2026) The Macro-Humanitarian Nexus The abrupt collapse of the former regime in December 2024 served as the primary catalyst for a fundamental restructuring of Syria’s institutional and humanitarian landscape (House of Commons Library, 2026). Under the transitional administration of President Ahmad al-Sharaa, the state has entered

· 14 min

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