Claims

INTRO-005

Reconstruction is costed at US$216 billion in December 2024 US dollars, a conservative best estimate within a published range, and physical damage at US$108 billion. The two measure different things

Claim ID
INTRO-005
Exact or summary claim
Reconstruction is costed at US$216 billion in December 2024 US dollars, a conservative best estimate within a published range, and physical damage at US$108 billion. The two measure different things
Destination
Introduction and Chapters 1, 11
Status
SUPPORTED
Source
World Bank, Syria Physical Damage and Reconstruction Assessment 2011-2024
Source type
Official assessment, primary document opened
Published
2025-08
Accessed
2026-08-09
Measure and scope
Reconstruction cost is rebuilding to current standards including build back better, debris removal, demolition, site preparation, regulatory compliance and security costs, excluding service restoration. Uplift 2.1 to 2.3 times pre-conflict unit costs for buildings and 2.1 to 3.3 for infrastructure. Damage assessed as at 31 December 2024
Known conflict
The report gives its own range as US$140 to 345 billion in the executive summary and US$141 to 343 billion at printed page 24 PUBLISHED DATE CORRECTED 11 August 2026, on the Author's Note review. This cell held 2025-10-21 while SRC-057 holds 2025-08 for the same document. The assessment is dated August 2025 on its cover and was disclosed on 21 October 2025, so the claim row was carrying the disclosure date in a publication field. Both dates matter to this book and they are different facts; the prose says disclosed and the register now agrees. PAGE NUMBER CORRECTED 12 August 2026: this cell held page 26 and the assessment's own footer puts the statement 'The estimated range for the reconstruction is between US$141 billion and US$343 billion' on printed page 24. Chapter 1 line 29 was right and this register was wrong.
Specialist
None
Downstream
Every use of the headline figure in the book
Action
Never describe US$216 billion as replacement of damaged capital. Carry the range wherever the figure sizes an error
Version
0.1