The Arab Opinion Index published 84 per cent for Syrians believing people classify themselves and others by sect or religion (the first three of four scale points, in both the Syria results announcement and the regional press release), and for the prevalence of sectarian discourse 85 in the Syria results announcement (the first three of four) and 70 in the regional press release and In Brief (the first two of four), in the four documents held.
Claim ID
CH4-AOI-003
Exact or summary claim
The Arab Opinion Index published 84 per cent for Syrians believing people classify themselves and others by sect or religion (the first three of four scale points, in both the Syria results announcement and the regional press release), and for the prevalence of sectarian discourse 85 in the Syria results announcement (the first three of four) and 70 in the regional press release and In Brief (the first two of four), in the four documents held.
Destination
Chapter 4, the survey section
Status
SUPPORTED
Source
SRC-129 (results announcement, English and Arabic editions); SRC-774 (press release); SRC-775 (In Brief); the published microdata at research/Arab Opinion Index Syria 2025/aoi-data-2025-en-stata.dta
Source type
Publisher statement checked against the primary microdata
Published
2025
Accessed
2026-09-06
Measure and scope
Recomputed as weighted shares on the microdata, Syrian rows (Q1 == 18), 30 September 2026: SY_2025_80 (classification by sect or religion), first three of four 83.7, first two 66.6; SY_2025_79_1 (prevalence of sectarian discourse), first two 69.3 (68.5 unweighted), first three 84.1 (83.5 unweighted). The Syria results announcement (SRC-129, English and Arabic editions) prints 85 for the prevalence item, the first three of four, the third labelled Not prevalent; the regional press release (SRC-774) and In Brief (SRC-775) print 70, the first two. THE READING THIS ROW CARRIED FROM 6 SEPTEMBER 2026, THAT NO 85 IS PUBLISHED BY THE SURVEY FOR THAT QUESTION, IS WITHDRAWN (audits/reports/AOI_sectarian_figure_check_2026-09-30.md).
Known conflict
Chapter 4 v26 and SRC-130 carried superseded readings of the 84, corrected on 6 September 2026. The two prevalence figures are not in conflict with each other: they collapse the same four-point question at different points, and each is attributed to the document that prints it. The 69.2 and 84.0 first entered here on 30 September 2026 were sums of rounded components; computed as shares they are 69.3 and 84.1 (B-1 and m-6 of audits/reports/D268_en_pass_diff_review_2026-09-30.md).
Specialist
Survey methods
Downstream
Chapter 4 lines 217 and 219; Chapter 12, which prints none of these figures
Action
Print 84 as the first three of four. For the prevalence of sectarian discourse print both figures, each attributed to the document that prints it, 85 to the results announcement and 70 to the press release and In Brief; never print either as the figure the survey published.