Claims

GASRES-001

Syria's proved natural gas reserves are published as 8,500 billion cubic feet, and the figure has been reprinted unchanged for at least five years

Claim ID
GASRES-001
Exact or summary claim
Syria's proved natural gas reserves are published as 8,500 billion cubic feet, and the figure has been reprinted unchanged for at least five years
Destination
Chapter 9
Status
QUALIFIED
Source
Oil and Gas Journal, 'Worldwide look at reserves and production', November-December 2025, Syria row second and fourth columns, read at the render research/CH9_OILGAS_OGJ_wwrp_2025-11-12_pages/p001.png; the issue of 6 December 2021, columns 1 January 2022 and 2021, held under the misleading filename research/CH9_OILGAS_OGJ_wwrp_2023.pdf (its footer reads 'Oil & Gas Journal | Dec. 6, 2021'); EIA 2015 brief at research/CH9_OILGAS_EIA_syria_2015_CAB.txt line 202
Source type
Trade publication survey, and a national statistical agency citing it
Published
2025-11-12
Accessed
2026-08-23
Measure and scope
Estimated proved reserves of natural gas, in billion cubic feet, Syrian Arab Republic, as at 1 January of the stated year. 8,500 bcf is 8.5 trillion cubic feet
Known conflict
THE SAME CARRY-FORWARD AS THE OIL FIGURE. 8,500 is printed at 1 January 2021, 2022, 2025 and 2026, and the EIA reported the identical 8.5 tcf for January 2015 citing the same journal. The manuscript's own observation that the figure is 'not wrong so much as frozen' is confirmed and extended by five years || 28 September 2026 (D-241 item 2): The Ministry of Energy's home page (SRC-696) states natural gas reserves of 211 million cubic metres as printed, under a thousandth of this row's 8.5 trillion cubic feet; see GASRES-002. || READING OF 18 OCTOBER 2026 (D-307; audits/reports/series_leads_verification_2026-10-18/VERIFY.md part C), OO-14: the Source field called the issue of 6 December 2021 'the 2023 edition' after its filename, and is corrected. The archive editions retrieved on 16 October 2026 (SRC-788) give Syria's gas at 7,000 bcf at 1 January 1995 and 1996, 8,300 at 1997 and 1998 and 8,500 from 1 January 1999; Chapter 9 prints none of this and l.21 is unchanged.
Specialist
Petroleum reserves estimation
Downstream
Chapters 9 and 10
Action
Print it as frozen, with the span of years over which it has not moved, and name the single publisher behind both the journal and the EIA versions
Version
0.1