Rewriting the Rules took its US$250 to 400 billion reconstruction range from Diana Rayes, 'Dispatch from Damascus', Atlantic Council MENASource, 3 January 2025, which gives no source for it; Rewriting the Rules printed the range as 'expected to cost' and 'the estimated' and cited no source for it
Claim ID
INTRO-009
Exact or summary claim
Rewriting the Rules took its US$250 to 400 billion reconstruction range from Diana Rayes, 'Dispatch from Damascus', Atlantic Council MENASource, 3 January 2025, which gives no source for it; Rewriting the Rules printed the range as 'expected to cost' and 'the estimated' and cited no source for it
Destination
Introduction; Chapter 1; Author's Note; corrections list
Status
SUPPORTED
Source
The author's statement, recorded as D-234 (planning/decisions/DECISION_LOG.md, 26 September 2026), for the provenance; SRC-065 (the commentary, held capture of 1 September 2026 and publication-day Wayback capture 20250103192155) for its wording and its lack of a source; SRC-030 (Rewriting the Rules, 21 October 2025) at its lines 125 and 175 for the printed wording
Source type
Author's statement about his own earlier book, checked against two opened primary documents
Published
2025-01-03; 2025-10-21
Accessed
2026-09-28
Measure and scope
Provenance of a range, not a cost estimate. The commentary: 'The estimated cost of rebuilding the country ranges between $250 billion and $400 billion', the only link in the sentence pointing to about:blank from the day of publication. Rewriting the Rules line 125: 'rebuilding the country is expected to cost between $250 and $400 billion'; line 175: 'the estimated $250-$400 billion required to rebuild the entire country'; neither carries a note, and the book's reference list (checked 28 September 2026 for 'Rayes', 'Atlantic Council' and 'Dispatch from Damascus') lists one Atlantic Council work, a different report, and not this commentary
Known conflict
Supersedes the earlier framing that the range was the author's own estimate or that its origin could not be established (introduction lines 3 and 5, Chapter 1 lines 87 and 123 before D-234). The European Parliament briefing (SRC-021) splices this commentary's floor with a UNDP ceiling; that is CH1-009's subject, not this row's
Specialist
None
Downstream
Every sentence naming where Rewriting the Rules's range came from; the corrections-list entry of D-234
Action
State the provenance as the author's own statement about his earlier book; never as a finding of the search
Version
00 v36, 01 v58, 12 v30, AN v10, COR v7 (candidates, 28 September 2026); opened for the 00 review M-3 and the 01 review M-2